Author Archives: wciecon
Rip van Winkle on Price Level vs Inflation Targets
Rip van Winkle is put in charge of a New Keynesian central bank. He sets a nominal interest rate that he believes will keep inflation at 0% and the price level constant. (It doesn't matter if I change this to rising at 2% per year.) Then he falls asleep for 70 years, and that nominal […]
Provincial Government Health Spending: The Force Awakens?
The Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI) recently released its 2017 edition of its National Health Expenditure Trends and its worth a trip to its website for the downloadable data on all things related to health spending. I've been on an advisory group to the CIHI with respect to its national health expenditures for a […]
Price-level targeting as an automatic stabiliser for inflation
Targeting the price level could mean lower variation of inflation than targeting inflation. The best way to target inflation might be to target the price level instead. It's one of those paradoxes of pre-commitment. A promise to do something you don't want to do can affect others' expectations, and others' actions, and help you get […]
Capital flows vs Kapital flows (simpler version)
Let me try to make the intuition of my previous post simpler and clearer. Suppose a country wants to invest more, because the profitability of investment has increased. It wants to increase the stock of kapital (machines) in its factories. There are three ways it could do this: 1 Divert some of its own production […]
Capital flows vs Kapital flows (very wonky)
This is only partly a response to Paul Krugman's posts. Mostly it's me trying to get my own head clear on something. This is a difficult topic, and this post is not as clear as it should be. So I don't expect many, or any, to fully understand it. I don't properly understand it myself. […]
How can Halloween get started?
A day late, but whatever. It's easy to understand how money might get started. A non-smoker accepts cigarettes(pdf) he doesn't want in exchange for the jam he doesn't want. Then finds a smoker who will accept those cigarettes in exchange for biscuits he does want. That non-smoker has just used cigarettes as a medium of […]
How much more can governments spend by switching to a debt ratio target?
In my recent National Post column, I make reference to some back-of-envelope calculations to the effect that replacing the fiscal anchor of balanced budgets to one of a fixed debt-GDP ratio allows the federal government to increase spending by 1.2 percentage points of GDP, or by about $25 billion. I'm going to work through the […]
If r < g, bond-finance is like currency-finance
A world where the interest rate on government bonds is (permanently) less than the growth rate of GDP ("r<g") is a weird world. The government can run a Ponzi scheme, where it borrows (sells more bonds) to pay for the interest on the existing bonds, so the stocks of bonds grows at the rate of […]
So, what *are* the differences between a Government’s Budget and a Household’s Budget?
You've probably seen examples. Some poor non-economist says something like: "Governments, like households, must live within their means". And economists all point their fingers and laugh and say that's a fallacy. So, what are the differences between a government's budget and a household's budget? And do those differences matter? This is just a simple "teaching" […]
Soldiers of Fortune goes to Hollywood
There are six identical men, who must choose one of them to do an unpleasant job. They could hold an auction and pay one of them to volunteer to do the job. But if they have diminishing marginal utility of consumption, they will prefer instead to roll a die to decide which one of them […]
Worthwhile Canadian Initiative 
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