Category Finance
Is debt too high? Debt, pensions, and houses
Debt to income levels are high by historical standards in Canada and the US. Here's a recent report (pdf) from TD Economics showing household debt/income ratios at around 150% in both countries. But is that "too high"? And is that evidence that some people, like the Flopsy Bunnies, are very improvident? I'm going to play […]
Canada, the Eurozone, and interest rates
This is something I know I don't understand. Compare the following two statements: A: "Some Eurozone countries have higher interest rates on their government bonds, reflecting higher perceived risk of default. This raises all interest rates in those countries, and so reduces aggregate demand in those countries." B: "Some Canadian provinces have higher interest rates […]
Currency wars and forced dissaving
The Fed is the loan placement officer for the world's central banks. The US government is the Fed's borrower of last resort. The forced loans can be called in at any time the lender wishes. People are different; that's why they trade. Sometimes that trade will take place between people who live in the same […]
Saving by buying lottery tickets
Another sad news day. An older woman, living on a fixed income. Faced with an emergency, she had paid for purchases with a department store credit card. The card's interest rate, including service charges, was 29 percent. She was barely able to pay the interest on the card. To reduce the amount owing was impossible. […]
Stocks and bonds, and capital and money
How will we know that "QE2" is working? Judging from rising stock and bond prices, some will conclude it's working already, even though we haven't seen it yet (which is no surprise, because expected future monetary policy matters as much or more than current monetary policy). But I'm waiting for stock and bond prices to […]
Was Milton Friedman right after all???
Milton Friedman said a lot of things that were very controversial 40 years ago, but are now part of the economics mainstream. The natural rate hypothesis, and the view that monetary policy should have prime responsibility for aggregate demand and inflation, are now part of the New Keynesian orthodoxy. This shows how much Milton Friedman […]
The End of Finance? The monetisation of everything.
I know it's wrong, or at least deeply problematic, to adopt a teleological view of history: to say that History has an End, or Purpose, and is inexorably driven by deterministic Iron Laws towards that End, with perhaps an occasional hiccough along the way. But I can't stop myself. What is the End of Finance? […]
The bond “bubble”, and why we should be worried about it
In one important sense, there is a "bubble" in US government bonds, and we should be worried about it.
Liquidity and the housing market Phillips Curve
I think it is a stylised fact of the housing market that, on average, houses sell quickly when house prices are rising, and sell slowly when house prices are falling. (I am talking about house prices rising or falling relative to trend). There is a negative correlation between the rate of change of house prices […]
Liquidity and used cars; liquidity as the slope of the round-trip curve
Conclusion: liquidity should not be measured by the cost of a round-trip from money into the asset and back to money. Instead, liquidity should be measured by the slope of the curve relating the cost of a round-trip against the time taken to make that round-trip. Liquidity has puzzled me for a long time. It's […]
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