Category International

Can Canada recover alone? Why not, exactly?

If Canada gets its macroeconomic policies right, is it possible for Canada to recover from the recession, even if the rest of the world does not? The same question could be asked for any individual country. And if not, why not?

I hope Hillary fails

Nothing personal, but I just do not understand why she is asking China to buy more US treasuries. This just doesn't make any sense to me. She ought to be doing the exact opposite. Can someone explain it? Regardless of the ultimate cause of the crisis (and China and perhaps Japan saving too much and […]

At least we don’t have the Gold Standard to worry about

Will this crisis be as bad as the Great Depression of the 1930's? One important difference is that we don't have the Gold Standard now. That's one good reason for optimism.

Fiscal vs monetary policy, globally

This does not make sense. Why are so many countries around the world using fiscal policy when they have not yet made full use of orthodox monetary policy? The US makes sense. The Fed has already lowered the policy rate to zero, so it has no more room for orthodox monetary easing, so it's adding […]

Exchange rate expectations in a liquidity trap

Bottom line:  Since we don't know much about how an economy can escape a deflationary spiral by itself, we don't know the counterfactual conditional, and so can't estimate the effect of a fiscal expansion on the future price level and the rational expectation of the future exchange rate under PPP. The assumption of static expectations […]

The political economy of protectionism

Update: Paul Krugman has a very good response to my earlier post. He is NOT endorsing protectionism: "First of all: my piece was NOT an endorsement of protectionism — it was an explanation that there is an economic case for it, but also that there is a strong political economy case (which I consider dominant) […]

“Buy domestic” policies are individually irrational too

Most (all?) economists agree that in a global recession, when each country wants to boost demand for the goods it produces, policies which steer demand to domestically-produced goods are individually rational (provided other countries don't retaliate), but collectively irrational when all countries do the same. I think most economists are wrong. It's not just collectively […]

Canada and the Eurozone: a comparison

I keep an eye on various European economics blogs (especially VoxEu and Maverecon). We often compare Canada and the US. I want to compare Canada and the Eurozone, just for a change. I want to revisit the Optimal Currency Area question, in the light of the financial crisis. The Eurozone is like Canada would be, […]

Multipliers in a liquidity trap; fixed vs. flexible exchange rates. Disagreeing with the IMF.

In a liquidity trap, interest rates are stuck at zero, so increases in government spending do not raise interest rates. What are the government spending multipliers in a liquidity trap? Closed/open economies; fixed/flexible exchange rates.

Buiter, Krugman, Steinbrueck, free-riding, and the exchange rate

Warning: this post is difficult, and I'm not at all sure I've got it right. But I'm going to post it anyway. What determines the exchange rate in a liquidity trap? [Prerequisite: second year Open Economy Macro] In case you hadn't noticed, there's a small war going on, with Willem Buiter (UK) and Paul Krugman […]