Category Productivity
Technology, preferences, and wages; kinks and curves, Moseley and Krugman.
Look at the red curve PF1 and the blue curve PF2 in this picture. Ignore everything else: That's the picture Paul Krugman drew, showing how a capital-biased change in technology would shift the production function.
In praise of General Equilibrium Models
Q1. What happens if they built robots that could do my job as well as I could, and those robots got cheaper and cheaper over time? My wages would have to fall so I could compete with the robots, and I would be worse off. Q2. What happens if they built robots that could do […]
Production of Robots by means of Robots.
(Sorry about the title. The devil made me write it.) What are we afraid of? Let's think about the worst-case, nightmare scenario for the distribution of income. Assume that all capital is robots, and robots are perfect substitutes for human workers. One robot can produce everything and anything one human worker can produce. And that […]
Capital-biased technical change vs low interest rates?
Paul Krugman says that recent technical change has been capital-biased. That robot story sounds plausible to me too. But if so, why are real interest rates so low? (Yes I know there's a global recession on, but real interest rates were falling even before the recession). Maybe we are forgetting a third factor, land, and […]
Measuring Universities: Once More Unto the Breach
Making change sometimes involves an elaborate public discourse and preparation of affected stakeholders and in Ontario the discourse is towards getting people in the public sector to do more with less. The latest target was drawn to my attention by Alex Usher’s Higher Education Strategy Associates (HESA) morning bulletin, which featured the preliminary report by […]
Growing Ontario One Report at a Time
The Conference Board of Canada has chimed in on what ails Ontario and how to get it moving in a recently released report titled Needed: A Comprehensive Growth Strategy for Ontario. The report argues that after rebounding from the 2008-09 recession, Ontario has slipped into tepid growth of around 2 percent annually and needs a […]
We Will Bury You…Eventually?
Few probably recall (I was not even born yet) the November 18, 1956 Western ambassadors reception at the Polish embassy in Moscow where the then Soviet First Secretary of the Communist Party Nikita Krushchev supposedly uttered the famous quote: “We will bury you.” The actual line apparently was apparently something to the effect of “Whether […]
Is the Stationary State Coming?
Robert Gordon has recently published an NBER paper titled “Is U.S. Economic Growth Over? Faltering Innovation Confronts the Six Headwinds”. The paper questions the universal assumption that gained currency in the 1950s with Robert Solow's work that economic growth is a continuous process that will persist forever. Indeed, Gordon suggests that the past 250 years […]
What Does Health Spending Buy You?
Last WCI post, I used the OECD 2012 Health Data spending statistics to examine the growth of total health care spending. The question I want to look at this time is what does increased spending yield a health care system in terms of the health care resources available? While we are concerned with the cost […]
Permanent productivity differentials and Optimal Currency Areas
Many good economists, like Simon Johnson and Paul Krugman for example, have said something about permanent productivity differentials and optimal currency areas I simply do not understand. (Lots of other people say the same thing, but when good economists say it and I don't understand it I get worried.) Maybe they are making some implicit […]
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