Who makes sure the long run consolidated government-central bank budget constraint balances? Is it the government? Or is it the central bank? The former gives us a Ricardian regime; the latter gives us fiscal dominance. Most macroeconomists take a Ricardian regime as their unspoken assumption; and, if pressed, would recommend a Ricardian regime, as is […]
I went. And apparently it's being sold as a Big Deal; here's the speech. Here are the points I was curious about last week: Is this a real policy proposal, or a recital of Conservative failures? A healthy dose of the latter, and some generalities. No details, though. Cap-and-trade, or a carbon tax? Cap-and-trade it […]
Ed Broadbent had an op-ed in Tuesday's Globe on a plan to reduce child poverty, and he offers this proposal: In the next budget, let's impose a six-point increase in income tax on those earning more than $250,000 a year (whose average taxable income is $600,000). While leaving them with very high incomes, this would […]
Similarities: S1. Both do general equilibrium analysis, trying to understand the interaction between parts of a whole system, with lots of positive and/or negative feedback loops.
It's hard to believe that I've managed to run a blog on the Canadian economy for more than four years without having a go at what is Canada's most fragrant example of bad economic policy. Happily, the Conference Board has just published a paper summarising the sorry state of affairs in the market for dairy […]
MM Veldhuis and Lammam respond to my post on their op-ed in the National Post last week, and Kevin Milligan summarises a couple of their points: 1. The PBO would not be exactly like the CBO therefore no parallels to the CBO may be drawn.2. Canada's Parliamentary system has the advantage that the executive is […]
Some points to consider: The PBO has a budget of $1.8m and 15 employees. (source) The US Congressional Budget Office has a budget of $45.2m and 250 employees. (source) Policy analysis does not scale well; the cost of putting together a model for evaluating a given policy is pretty much the same in both countries. […]
When we last left this story, inflation was drifting further and further below the Bank of Canada's inflation target, and the CAD was up to 0.97 USD. The case for intervening in the forex market to slow the appreciation of the CAD – and hence slow the drift to deflation – was starting to look […]
Today's National Post has an op-ed written by a couple of Fraser Institute types entitled "Scrap the Parliamentary Budget Office". It's a remarkable piece of rhetoric. Although its stated purpose is to make the case for eliminating the PBO, it ends up demonstrating once again why an effective PBO is so desperately needed.
To paraphrase Churchill, accountants and economists are divided by a common language. We seem to be using the same words to talk about the same things, but we don't understand what the other is saying. This is my attempt to provide an economist's perspective on the relation between accounting and economics. What I say here […]
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