Category Macro

A “Why Fiscal Policy Won’t Work” Contest

I am opening a contest. Let's see who can come up with the most plausible (or least implausible) model in which fiscal policy would not work in present circumstances. This is not an entirely frivolous exercise. David Andolfatto (who runs another excellent Canadian economics blog) has made a number of posts recently questioning the empirical […]

Imagine there’s no money….

Would the current financial crisis matter as much in a world without money? Let me be more specific. Imagine we lived in a world where we still had money as a medium of account, so prices were measured in money. But people did not use any medium of exchange; they used barter instead. Would your […]

Could the natural rate of interest really be negative?

{Update: Preface: Is it possible that an economy could find itself in an absolute liquidity trap because the natural rate of interest went negative? Or is it only possible if mistakes in monetary policy caused expected inflation to go negative?] We argue that the nominal rate of interest cannot be negative. If it were, people […]

Good News! Interest rates rise.

This Bloomberg story reports the Fed saying that rising bond yields are a good sign. They don't precisely say that monetary easing is what caused the rise in interest rates; they are perhaps too modest to claim credit? But I will say it for them: by buying bonds, and easing monetary policy, the Fed has […]

Scott Sumner’s Plan for monetary policy

Thanks to Scott's recent post here, (and the last paragraph of his post here), I think I now have a better understanding of his proposal for how monetary policy should be conducted. The purpose of this post is to explain Scott's plan in my own words, and compare it to the Bank of Canada's current […]

Do wage and price cuts increase (real) aggregate demand?

It all depends on what you hold constant when you draw the AD curve in {price level,real output} space. See Paul Krugman, Bryan Caplan (h/t), and David Henderson.

Is Ignatieff playing with the right Employment Insurance instrument?

Apparently we're going to have yet another political psychodrama, this time over Employment Insurance (EI). Michael Ignatieff is threatening to force an election if the government doesn't go along with the Liberal proposal to make everyone eligible for EI after 360 hours of work. (I should explain to our non-Canadian readers that we've set the […]

Why an excess demand for money matters so much

Suppose there were an excess demand for antique furniture. Antique furniture is not part of GDP. By Walras Law, if there were an excess demand for antique furniture, there must be an equal and offsetting excess supply of something else, like newly-produced goods for example. Could an excess demand for antique furniture cause a general […]

Bad banks, and the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies

I'm going to take another crack at this topic. Do bad banks (and a bad financial system) reduce the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in shifting the Aggregate Demand curve to the right? The answer matters, because if they do reduce the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy (a lot), then we need to […]

Short run “Speed Limits” on recovery

Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of Canada, spoke yesterday about short run "speed limits" to economic recovery. This is a concept you don't hear very often, so I thought I would briefly discuss it. It's easily confused with the much more familiar long run "speed limits" to economic growth. And those long run "speed […]