Category Macro

(Im)perfect financial markets and quantitative easing

If financial markets were perfect, quantitative easing would have no effect on aggregate demand. But if financial markets were perfect, we wouldn't have the financial crisis, and so wouldn't need quantitative easing.

The return of Monetarism vs. Keynesianism?

Maybe it isn't the return of Monetarism. Or rather, it isn't the return of only Monetarism. Maybe it's the return of Monetarism vs. Keynesianism, 1960's style, applied to unorthodox monetary policy.

Cash-in-advance constraints and modeling liquidity traps

It was good to see Paul Krugman's response to my previous post. We agree more than we disagree, I think. We need to move outside the Neo-Wicksellian perspective if we want to look at monetary policy where short-term interest rates are already at zero. You can't use a model which contains i and does not […]

The return of Monetarism

As interest rates approach zero, and central banks look at "unorthodox" monetary policies, the Neo-Wicksellian perspective on monetary policy has switched to a blank screen. We are witnessing the return of Monetarism. That's the main reason why economists find it hard to think about unorthodox monetary policies. The dominant Neo-Wicksellian paradigm which fills our heads […]

Who will buy the bonds? Eurozone edition

This is a followup to my previous post "Who will buy the bonds?". It is also a followup to my January 20th post "Canada and the Eurozone: a comparison". The main theme of that second post is that the Eurozone is like Canada, only without the Federal government of Canada. Eurozone countries are like Canadian […]

Who will buy the bonds?

"The government needs to sell bonds to finance an expansionary fiscal policy. But who will buy the bonds? What happens if nobody wants to?" What we ought be be concerned about is the exact opposite. The fiscal policy will be more likely to succeed if people do not want to buy the bonds.

Can Canada recover alone? Why not, exactly?

If Canada gets its macroeconomic policies right, is it possible for Canada to recover from the recession, even if the rest of the world does not? The same question could be asked for any individual country. And if not, why not?

I hope Hillary fails

Nothing personal, but I just do not understand why she is asking China to buy more US treasuries. This just doesn't make any sense to me. She ought to be doing the exact opposite. Can someone explain it? Regardless of the ultimate cause of the crisis (and China and perhaps Japan saving too much and […]

A very simple macro model of the last few years

Here is a very simple model of interest rates, debt, asset prices, and recession. It seems to fit the facts of the last few years reasonably well. There are two types of people: the A's and the B's. The A's have normal interest-elastic savings and investment functions. They save less and invest more if the […]

Demand-constrained and supply-constrained economies

I have said that economies are normally "supply-constrained", but that right now many economies are "demand-constrained". Other economists make a similar distinction. Whether an economy is supply- or demand-constrained makes a very big difference to the sorts of policies that work. A policy which increases supply won't work in an economy that is demand-constrained. A […]